Contracts and coordination: Supply chains with uncertain demand and supply

Considering a supply chain with a supplier subject to yield uncertainty selling to a retailer facing stochastic demand, we find that commonly studied classical coordination contracts fail to coordinate both the supplier's production and the retailer's procurement decisions and achieve efficient performance. First, we study the vendor managed inventory (VMI) partnership. We find that a consignment VMI partnership coupled with a production cost subsidy achieves perfect coordination and a win‐win outcome; it is simple to implement and arbitrarily allocates total channel profit. The production cost subsidy optimally chosen through Nash bargaining analysis depends on the bargaining power of the supplier and the retailer. Further, motivated by the practice that sometimes the retailer and the supplier can arrange a “late order,” we also analyze the behavior of an advance‐purchase discount (APD) contract. We find that an APD with a revenue sharing contract can efficiently coordinate the supply chain as well as achieve flexible profit allocation. Finally, we explore which coordination contract works better for the supplier vs. the retailer. It is interesting to observe that Nash bargaining solutions for the two coordination contracts are equivalent. We further provide recommendations on the applications of these contracts. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 305–319, 2016     

浅谈计算机与信息战

探讨了计算机和计算机技术与信息战的关系以及在现代军事系统和民用系统中的地位和作用。并提出了信息战的概念模型、基本特征和实践效果。旨在加速信息技术的大力发展和应用,以适应未来信息战、信息化和数字化的需求。     

基于状态变换的数字电路冗余确认研究

以状态跳变图为基础,深入分析了冗余变换与非法变换的特征,提出结构冗余和功能冗余的概念,并讨论了可测故障、不可测故障和冗余之间的联系.最后结合验证和测试生成,提出状态冗余的隐含遍历确认策略.     

BSC信道下线性分组码的差错概率下界分析

针对BSC信道,提出了一种线性分组码的最大似然译码差错概率下界的计算方法.根据最大似然译码算法原理,首先将译码差错概率转化为差错事件的联合概率,基于改进的Dawson-Sankoff界的优化准则,推导出BSC信道下线性分组码差错冗余事件的判决准则,最后得到差错概率下界的计算表达式.该下界只依赖于码字的Hamming重量...     

一种含氧混合燃料喷雾特性的试验研究

针对柴油和所需的油料方案B20D10（即在柴油中掺混20%生物柴油和10%碳酸二甲酯,Dimethyl-Carbonate,DMC）,在某型重型车辆柴油机高压泵试验台上,采用定容弹和高速摄影技术,研究了掺混生物柴油和DMC后对燃油喷雾特性的影响。结果表明：在不同的背景压力下,燃料B20D10油束的贯穿距离低于柴油,最大降幅达到7.0%,锥角最大增加约15.2%;在非破碎阶段,燃料的贯穿距离与时间呈正比关系;在破碎阶段,贯穿距离与时间的关系为s∝tn,其中n约为0.57。试验结果为建立该混合燃料的喷雾模型,并进行缸内燃烧的数值模拟奠定了基础。     

用于作战效能评估的概率化案例推断模型

作战效能评估是作战辅助决策和装备体系建设等现代战争研究领域的核心问题.针对现有作战效能评估方法在不确定性处理或样本规模等方面的限制,从概率化案例推断的视角来看待作战效能评估问题,使用贝叶斯网络技术建立评估模型.该模型能够以虚拟证据形式纳入案例数据,并借助后验推断机制学得潜在的评估映射规则,以驱动新案例的评估,同时还能揭示评估指标权重的分布情况.以仿真系统结果数据作为案例输入,在Age-naRisk软件中建立并运行该模型,实际验证了模型的有效性.     

Visual SLAM in dynamic environments based on object detection

A great number of visual simultaneous localization and mapping (VSLAM) systems need to assume static features in the environment. However, moving objects can vastly impair the performance of a VSLAM system which relies on the static-world assumption. To cope with this challenging topic, a real-time and robust VSLAM system based on ORB-SLAM2 for dynamic environments was proposed. To reduce the influence of dynamic content, we incorporate the deep-learning-based object detection method in the visual odometry, then the dynamic object probability model is added to raise the efficiency of object detection deep neural network and enhance the real-time performance of our system. Experiment with both on the TUM and KITTI benchmark dataset, as well as in a real-world environment, the results clarify that our method can significantly reduce the tracking error or drift, enhance the robustness, accuracy and stability of the VSLAM system in dynamic scenes.     

基于SOPC技术的无人机飞控系统硬件平台设计

提出了一种基于可编程片上系统(SOPC)技术的无人机飞行控制系统硬件解决方案.控制系统核心为单片FPGA芯片,处理单元采用了多个高性能32位嵌入式NiosⅡ处理器来并行处理数据.利用VerilogHDL硬件描述语言在FPGA芯片内部编写了包括图像预处理、姿态预处理、逻辑控制系统等设备.和传统的无人机控制系统相比,得益于采用SOPC技术带来的高度集成性,控制系统保证了在具有很强的数据处理能力的同时拥有较小的体积和较低的功耗.     

具有热阻、热漏和内不可逆性的联合卡诺热机生态学优化

用有限时间热力学的方法分析具有热阻、热漏、内不可逆性的定常流联合卡诺型热机循环.导出了在傅立叶导热定律下联合循环功率、效率和生态学指标的性能,并进行优化;得到功率、效率和生态学指标之间的优化关系,并由数值计算分析了功率、效率和循环熵产率之间的关系.所得的结果表明,最大生态学指标下的效率十分接近于联合循环可以达到的最大效率;相应的熵产率也要低于以输出功率为优化目标时的熵产率.     

钢质油罐底板腐蚀概率估计

针对钢质油罐底板腐蚀,首先分析了油罐底板腐蚀工程检测数据的特点和腐蚀试验数据统计分析理论;然后针对工程检测信息不完全的特性,以最大腐蚀深度的预测估计为目标,建立了以轻微腐蚀面积估计来实现腐蚀概率修正估计的模型;最后利用广州等地27个罐约900条检测数据估计了油罐底板的最大腐蚀深度。其最大相对误差小于45%,约80%的相对误差优于30%。